Crypto Markets Hold Steady — The Shocking Truth About October

Crypto Markets Hold Steady — The Shocking Truth About October

Are you curious about whether now is the right time to jump into the crypto jungle? With markets oscillating like a rollercoaster and headlines screaming „volatility,” knowing the latest trends could make or break your next move. Let’s unravel what’s happening today in the crypto world, so you can stay ahead — without losing your head!

Key Market Developments

The crypto market experienced some stabilization after prior downtrends, with cautious trading ahead of expected key macroeconomic events such as the Federal Reserve rate decision. The global crypto market capitalization slipped slightly to approximately $3.81 trillion, decreasing about 0.61% in the last day. Market sentiment remains cautious with traders looking for signals from macroeconomic policies and rate adjustments to trigger the next upward momentum or potential corrections.​

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has slightly decreased, so we do not expect a price increase for now. However, we believe the support will remain strong.

Crypto Fear and Greed Index
Crypto Fear and Greed Index

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Movements and Positions

  • Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $113,000, dipping below $114,000 during the past day. The 24-hour range for Bitcoin prices was roughly between $112,075 and $116,114. The volume for BTC stood at approximately 324,492 BTC traded, worth about $36.69 billion in USD. Bitcoin’s market cap is around $2.25 trillion.​
  • Ethereum (ETH) hovered just below $4,000, trading around $3,987, with a 24-hour price drop of about 2.19%. Ethereum continues to see strong transactional activity on-chain, reflecting steady usage and interest in the network.​

Key On-chain Metrics for Bitcoin (Last 24 Hours)

MetricValue / Description
Price Range (24h)$112,000 – $116,000
Current PriceAround $113,000
24h Trading Volume~324,492 BTC (~$36.7 billion)
Transactions Per Day~491,572
Blocks Mined (24h)153
Average Block Time~9 minutes 24 seconds
Median Transaction FeeApprox. 1-2 sat/vB (typical network usage)
Whale Deposits to ExchangesSignificant deposits: 1,448 BTC (~$164 million) and others
Exchange OutflowsOngoing accumulation, approx. 179,000 BTC withdrawn in October to private custody
Mempool Pending TransactionsAbout 1,687 transactions
Bitcoin Supply in ProfitApproximately 91%
Market SentimentAccumulation phase with positive technical indicators

In the BTCUSD position, we make no changes. The market is highly volatile as the Federal Reserve meeting on base interest rates is approaching next week. Today, the market shows a 100% probability that rates will be cut by 25 basis points, which is positive for the price of Bitcoin.

BTCUSD. 4HTF. Crypto
BTCUSD. 4HTF

Key On-chain Metrics for Ethereum (Last 24 Hours)

MetricValue / Description
Current PriceAround $3,987
24h Trading VolumeApproximately $33.7 billion
Transactions Per Day~1.59 million
Layer 2 Transaction Volume~506 million transactions (around 58.5% of total)
Active AddressesApprox. 485,000 active daily addresses (up 12% QoQ)
Median Transaction FeeApprox. $0.42 per transaction
Total ETH Staked29.4% of total supply (35.6 million ETH locked)
Validator Participation Rate99.9% active validator participation
Volume of Smart Contract InteractionsRoughly 62% of daily transactions
NFT Transactions Per DayOver 180,000
Burn RateAnnualized burn rate ~1.32% (declining from earlier peaks)
Inflation StatusSlightly inflationary in Q3 2025 due to reduced mainnet fees

In the ETHUSD position, we are also awaiting further developments, anticipating potential opportunities for entry or adjustment.

ETHUSD. 4HTF. Crypto
ETHUSD. 4HTF

Reasons for Market Movements

  • Anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy decision, possibly a 0.25% rate cut, causing cautious trading and some downward pressure on prices.
  • General market stabilization following recent downtrends.
  • Increased on-chain activity on Ethereum signals underlying usage growth, supporting price stability.
  • Investors awaiting further clarity on global economic conditions and their impact on risk assets, including crypto.​

Best Performing Altcoin of the Day

The best performing altcoin today is PI (Pi Network Token), with a significant increase of approximately +15.13%. Another notable gain was by an altcoin named HYPE with a rise around +7.1%. These coins outperformed in a generally soft market environment.​

Current Market and Bitcoin/Ethereum Price Predictions

  • Bitcoin is forecasted to remain range-bound near the $113,000 level, with risks to the downside towards $97,500 if support breaks.
  • Ethereum is expected to trade cautiously around the $4,000 level but with strong on-chain fundamentals supporting medium-term bullish sentiment.
  • General market projections anticipate volatility post the Federal Reserve announcement, with the potential for gains if rate cuts materialize and macro risks ease.​

Promising Crypto Projects with High Growth Potential

  • Bitcoin: Projects focused on Layer 2 scaling like Lightning Network enhancements continue to promise growth by increasing BTC’s transaction speed and reducing fees.
  • Ethereum: Layer 2 scaling solutions (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism) and increasing DeFi activity indicate Ethereum’s continued growth potential.
  • For Altcoins: Projects like Solana (SOL) stand out for tech development and ecosystem activity; recently up about +5% with strong developer adoption.
  • Emerging coins such as PI and HYPE represent speculative but high potential growth altcoins based on current market performance and community activity.​

Crypto Conclusion

Well, it looks like the crypto seas are still choppy, and patience might be the secret weapon. Remember, even in a storm, the best sailors know when to hold tight — and maybe crack a smile. After all, if Bitcoin and Ethereum are holding steady, maybe it’s just the market’s way of saying, “Take a breather, but keep your eyes peeled!

Source: Coincentral.com, Tradingview.com, Coinranking.comCoingecko.com, Coinmarketcap.com


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